Forex Golden Cross


A short-term moving average exhibits choppier price movement while long-term moving averages, like a 200-day MA, are plotted as smoother, less volatile lines. The Golden Cross comes about when the 50 simple moving average crosses above the 200 simple moving average. When the short-term price momentum moves higher, it has the possibility to develop into a long-term moving average. Unlike various technical patterns, the profit potential for the golden cross pattern is unfortunately not typically spelt out clearly. The idea of using a golden cross as an indicator is to recognise the change of price trajectory into an uptrend and to trade this trend .


IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. Any research provided should be considered as promotional and was prepared in accordance with CFTC 1.71 and designed to promote the independence of investment research. And you could’ve easily missed them if your sole focus is on the moving averages. Since the bullish trend was established, we started looking for price action pattern entries. After all, we want to set up the Golden Cross as a framework for macro analysis. Hence, responsiveness to recent price action is not a plus for us.

Golden Cross and Death Cross in Forex Trading

The main strategy when using the 200 EMA is identifying larger trends or looking for when trends are changing. This way you can either find new long running trend trades, or exit with healthy profits. Golden cross can be used in all types of financial assets, including currencies, stocks, indices, commodities, and exchange-traded funds . Relative Strength Index and the Stochastic are some of the best indicators that can lead to better outcomes while looking to profit from the golden cross setup. The indicators are ideal for confirming oversold and overbought conditions.


A golden cross is a chart pattern that occurs when a long-term moving average crosses below a shorter-term moving average. The golden cross is considered a bullish signal, representing the beginning of an uptrend. A death cross is a chart pattern that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a longer-term moving average. The death cross signal is classified as a bearish signal, representing the beginning of a downtrend in price action. Basically, the short-term average trends up faster than the long-term average, until they cross.

What is a golden cross?

The 21st century is all about living globally, traveling, and being able to work remotely from anywhere in the world. This is an extreme example of the golden cross pattern lagging. Sideways markets are always jumping to both sides of moving averages. You want to see a faster moving average crossing a slower moving average to the upside.

  • The key tool that helps in this endeavor is the chart form.
  • This effect causes an avalanche effect with more traders joining in and sustaining a bullish trend.
  • Yet, the first pullback from the trend actually moves in consolidation, so it is not a good point to enter with a sell position right away.
  • IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

Adding a stop loss and profit target can help you increase the profitability of the Golden Cross strategy. They are used to signal the potential start and end of long-term uptrends and downtrends. This technical analysis method is usually used on the daily chart. First, a downtrend develops at the short-term moving average, which crosses below the long-term trend before the moving averages crossing.


Keep in mind this is a longer indicator set over 200 periods that is best used to find longer term trends. To start using the 200 EMA select; “200” under the period and “Exponential” under the MA Method boxes. Then, click okay and the moving average will be applied to your chart. The 200 period EMA is using the last 200 periods of information to create a moving average on your chart. It is only spotted after the market has climbed; hence it is dependable.

Due to the latency, it’s hard to tell if a signal is incorrect until after the event. Traders combine this concept with additional indicators to validate a trend or indication. It may not occur until the market has turned from bearish to bullish. Therefore, the RSI and the Stochastic can provide early signs of when a golden cross is likely to occur. For instance, whenever the RSI reading is below 30, it implies that a cryptocurrency has been oversold significantly and that a potential reversal could occur.

While it m be considered a valid golden cross, there are better opportunities in the market with smoother, less volatile entry signals. This is the same type of golden cross trading signal from the previous chart. However, this time we demonstrate the strength of the signal and the potential run a stock can make after a golden cross materializes.

It is one of the most famous and widely used trading strategies used by both short term and long term traders of forex and CFDs. The 50-period (short-term) and 200-period (long-term) moving averages are the most often applied moving averages for the Golden Cross. Therefore, longer durations of time usually result in greater breakouts. The weekly 50-day moving average crossing of any forex pair up through the 200-day moving average, for example, is a powerful bullish signal. In the conventional interpretation, a golden cross involves the 50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA.

In this article, get a deeper understanding on how a golden cross forms and how it can be used to spot market trends changes. It occurs when a short-term moving average crosses over a long-term moving average. Hence, it is a reliable, positive price trend in all financial markets. A golden cross occurs when a faster-moving average crosses a slower moving average.

This will frequently lead to some kind of crash or big price correction. A pullback refers to the falling back of a price of a stock or commodity from its recent pricing peak. The best way to demonstrate a Golden Cross is with a real-life example. Looking at the chart you can see the in July the red line indicating the 50 SMA crossed the blue line representing the 200 SMA. Timothy Li is a consultant, accountant, and finance manager with an MBA from USC and over 15 years of corporate finance experience. Timothy has helped provide CEOs and CFOs with deep-dive analytics, providing beautiful stories behind the numbers, graphs, and financial models.

Example #1 – Stock Swing Trading Example (MCD)

The Golden Cross strategy requires a high level of patience from the trader. Trading opportunities are rare and positions need to be held for a long time for the strategy to be profitable. When holding long term positions unexpected news can turn a winning trade into a losing trade which can be frustrating.

slow moving average

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Golden Cross vs. Death Cross: What’s the Difference?

Specifically, it is when a short-term moving average, which reflects recent prices, rises above a long-term moving average, which is also the longer-term trend. Therefore, this shows that prices are gaining bullish impetus and is more so the case when accompanied by high trading volumes. Vice versa, the opposite is the case for a death cross, such as when the short-term moving average slips below the long-term moving average. The Golden Cross strategy is formed when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average producing a buy signal.

USD/JPY Forecast: Continues to Power Higher –

USD/JPY Forecast: Continues to Power Higher.

Posted: Wed, 01 Mar 2023 10:48:57 GMT [source]

The averages for 10, 20, 40, 80, 160, and 320 days following each was 0.53%, 0.89%, 2.64%, 8.17%, 10.45%, and 20.95%, respectively,” added Marcus. “TPA calculated the performance of the S&P , 20, 40, 80, 160, and 320 days following each of the 25 Golden Crosses since 1970. The average performance is 0.88%, 0.98%, 3.25%, 6.73%, 9.57%, and 15.70%, respectively. “Just like any trend-following system, it will have plenty of whipsaw losing trades, but the winners will more than make up for those. It’s easy to pick holes in it, but very few have the discipline to execute it.

When trend trading it is usually best to set a large target or no target at all and use a trailing stop. Waiting for the short term moving average to cross below the long term moving average and result in less profits. The most commonly used moving averages as the Golden Cross are the 50-period and the 200-period moving averages.

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